Monday, February 26, 2018

Trump budget proposes harsh cuts to social programs and huge jump in military spending


The Trump Administration released its 2019 budget proposal on February 12th, 2018


Here are some highlights. The budget has large reductions in social programs such as: HHS budget would be cut by 21%. HUD down 18%. Interior slashed 16%. Labor drops 21%. State cut 26%. Transportation reduced by 19%.

In the proposed budget, Defense spending is increased by 13% next year including $24 billion more for nuclear weapons. Defense spending would increase by 80% over the next 10-years compared to social spending.

There is also a separate two-penny (2%) across the board cut for all domestic, discretionary spending each year.  That’s about a 30% cumulative cut over the 10-year budget period.

Treasury budget includes an “integrity” program to reduce the gap between “taxes owed vs. taxes collected” by $29 Billion. IRS enforcement created a big issue with the XXX administration.

In S-2, you see some really brutal cuts to welfare, healthcare (Obamacare), student loans, disability, retirement, and Medicare. It also includes huge reductions in “other,” unnamed programs. Interestingly, it includes $1-2 billion for paid parental leave. The paltry item is split out on its own line in the appendix.

In S-4, the proposed budget, Trump wants to increase defense spending by 80% relative to social programs. Right now, the money spent on social needs and defense is roughly equal. Trump proposes to make defense spending roughly 80% larger than social program by 2028.
Eliminates the MBDA – Minority Business Development Centers. Turns MBDA into a “policy” office for the federal government

The GDP is expected to grow by 2.8% and the inflation rate will average 2.3% over the time span of the budget. The year deficit falls from $665 B (2017) to $363 B in 2028.

 Major Categories in the Budget

Description
Amount
Change
% Change




Agriculture
$19 Billion
-$3.7 Billion
-16%
Commerce
$9.8 Billion
+$546 MM
+6%
Defense
$686 Billion
+$80 Billion
+13%
Education
$60 Billion
-$7.1 billion
-10.5%
Energy
$29 billion
-$900 Million
-3%
HHS
$68.4
-$17.9
-21%
DHS
$46 B
+$3.4 Billion
+8%
HUD
$39.2 billion
-$8.8
-18%
Interior
$11 B
-$2.2 B
-16%
Justice
$28 B
-$345 MM
-1%
Labor
$9.4 B
-$2.6 B
-21%
State
$25.8 B
-$9 B
-26%
Transportation
$15.6 B
-$3.7 B
-19%
Treasury
$12.3 B
-$392 MM
-3%
VA
$83.1 Billion
+$8.7 B
+11.7%




Army COE
$4.8 B
-$480 MM
-20%
EPA
$5.4 B
-$2.8 B
-34%
NASA
$19.6 B
+$500 MM
+2.6%
SBA
$834
-$53 MM
-6%

Friday, February 16, 2018

Top Black Business and Economic Stories for Jan Feb 2018



Top Stories

The US African American unemployment rate recorded an all time low of 6.8 percent in December, 2017. The rate was the lowest ever recorded by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. However, the rate jumped back to 7.7 in January (when the author was laid off from his current job).

The current employment press release plus additional historical releases are available here:  https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm

President Trump and Jay-Z feuded publicly over the Black unemployment rate.

The low unemployment rate is also a distraction from another important issue: Basically the new jobs created really stink! The jobs feature low pay, poor working conditions, few benefits, no training and no promotional path. So, who cares how many bad jobs we create; give us some good jobs!

As of Feb.14th, VP Mike Pence is stilling claiming the Black unemployment rate is at a record low despite a spike up to 7.7%. 


The mistake illustrates two points: One, the Black unemployment rate is volatile and moves around a lot.  Two, the current presidential administration is incredibly uninformed and naive about economics, Black unemployment or the stock market. Facts just don’t seem to matter.

Finally, Brookings has a more detailed piece on the same issue. Black Unemployment at Record Low.

Reveal has a big, important story on continuing mortgage loan discrimination (redlining) in cities against Blacks


and another story about  specific banks who are discriminating in mortgage lending


Associated Press also has the story in an easier to read form


General News

Entrepreneur magazine has a slide show of 7 female black entrepreneurs.


Interesting entrepreneurs in the article include:

Arlan Hamilton – Back Stage Capital
Tracy Reese – Tracey Reese Designs
Jessica O. Matthews -- Uncharted power – power from movement including toys and soccer balls



Janice Bryant Howroyd seems to be the media’s favorite Black entrepreneur of the month during February. She is pretty much everywhere.
Several publications have profiles of Janice Bryant Howroyd, who is founder and chief executive of ACT-1 group, a personnel services company. The company has done well as large corporations down-size and outsource Human Resource functions.



Another story about lack of diversity in tech. Article speculates on diversity increasing revenue by $400 Billion. A little bit of a stretch. 


The week of Feb. 11th to Feb. 18th, 2018 is also Black restaurant week


National Public Radio also has a story

Jessie Jackson is calling for southern corporations in Tennessee, Arkansas and Mississippi to increase Black hiring and support of Black Business. The Memphis Commercial Appeal has the story.

Politics and Policies

The partisan creation of election districts (gerrymandering) has polarized the political process.

Research Papers

Here is an old but important link to “Diversity in High Tech,” May 2016, US EEOC

Executive Summary


Full report



Interesting / Other

T-shirts with famous Black people as colleges and universities. We like university of Baldwin.


The “Buy the Block” website aims to get Blacks to invest in real estate.


And finally, deeper reads

Go back and read the Reveal story on mortgage discrimination right now!!!


Monday, February 5, 2018

Hispanic/Latino Unemployment Rate also Hits Record Low



The Hispanic or Latino unemployment rate in the United States also hit a record low of 4.8% during June 2017 and November 2017. The recent record high was in August 2009 when the rate hit 13.0%.

There are large difference between Hispanic male and female labor participation rates. About 80% of Hispanic men 20 and older work while only 58% of Hispanic females work. The male unemployment rate for Hispanic men is 4.3% while the female rate is 4.5%.



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