behavior and overall economic happiness.
Thursday, July 7, 2016
Black Economics Curriculum (Proposed)
What would a degree in Black Economics look like. It would probably look like a conventional degree in Economic but a minor in Black Economics or Black social science. There is no getting around the Econ basics of: Macro, Micro and Math. Especially Math.
To be an economist you must be able to express your ideas in both common language and the language of economics (math). So the core does not really change. But the 3rd and 4th year topics would focus on Black Economics in the US. Even conventional topics such as health care economics would focus on issues affecting Black people.
Undergraduate Level (Bachelors Degree)
Macro 1
Macro 2
Micro 1
Micro 2
Writing Seminar 1
Writing Seminar 2
Public Speaking, Presentations and Electronic Communications
Developmental Economic
European Economic History
US Economic History
Econometrics
Statistics
Calculus 1
Calculus 2
Matrix Algebra
Economic Mathematical Models
Optional Course Selection
Survey of Black Economics: Thought and Reality
Topics in Black Consumer Behavior
Economics of US Slavery
Labor Economics with focus on US Blacks
Urban Planning and Real Estate
US segregation and economic consequences
Political and Social Economy
Public Sector and Welfare Economics
Health care economics with focus on US Blacks
Economics of the African Diaspora
Alternative Economics ideas and system (non neo-classical): from libertarian to Marxism
Research Topic and Paper
Internship at real business
Business simulation with business school
The Economics of Historically Black Institutions: Church, Business and HBCUs
Black Entrepreneurship: Yesterday and Today
Black Strategy and Competitive Advantage
The Economic views of Booker T Washington and WEB Dubois
Business of Sports and Entertainment
Economics of Discrimination
Gender Issues in Black Economics
High School Teacher, College Teacher, Researcher, Policy Analyst, Business Analyst, Public Relation, Government Policy analyst and Consultant
Estimate Income: 50K to 100K
Working Hour: Moderate
Happiness/Lifestyle Score: A
Graduate (Master)
(assumes you know Calculus, Statistics and Basic Macro/Micro)
Advanced Macro 1
Advanced Micro 2
Econometrics I
Econometrics II or Statistical Methods
Surveys and Panel Data Analysis
Economic Mathematical Models
Writing Seminar, Public Speaking, Presentations and Electronic Communications
Optional Course Selection
Developmental Economic
European Economic History
US Economic History
Colonialism
Complete Survey of Black Economics: Thought and Reality
US Economic History and the Economics of US Slavery
Labor Economics with focus on US Blacks
Urban Planning and Real Estate with focus on segregation and economic consequences
Political and Social Economy with focus on minorities
Public Sector and Welfare Economics
Social and Human Capital
Alternative Economics ideas and systems (non neo-classical)
Research Topic and Paper 1, 2
Grant writing and research funding
Intro to Masters Thesis: Defining the solvable problem
Job Prospects:
High School Teacher, College Teacher, Researcher, Policy Analyst, Business Analyst, Public Relation, Government Policy analyst and Consultant
Estimate Income: 50K to 100K
Working Hour: Moderate
Happiness/Lifestyle Score: A
Version 3 - July 8th, 2016
Sunday, June 26, 2016
Brexit: The United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership
The UK votes to leave the European Union.
On Thursday, June 25rd, 2016, the United Kingdom voted 52% to 48% to leave the European Union. The majority of voters in England and Wales (except for London) voted to leave the EU, while voters in Scotland and Northern Ireland voted to remain with the EU. Turnout was especially strong among the leave side.
The British decision to exit the EU is about the failure of globalization to improve the standard of living for the average person in the UK. The vote expresses the concern that the economic position of poor and middle class workers has gotten worse. The UK voters believe they have “lost” out due to increased competition from immigrants. And the voters want to blame and punish someone.
In addition, our western political systems have been unable “cushion the blow” on those affected by globalization. Neither the market economy nor government has delivered economic security and prosperity to the middle class. There are fewer jobs, higher prices, and less opportunity. The next generation will be worse than the current. And forget the effects on the poor in rich countries.
The theory behind globalization is an old and simple theory that is considered economic gospel. It is David Ricardo’s theory of comparative advantage that says trade make everyone better regardless of comparative position. Basically, even if I make everything better and cheaper than you trade will still help us both. Trade will increase growth and make everyone better off. The theory works great in a simplified world; but not the real world. In our world, there are layers of complicating factors such as technology, monopolies and governments. The net results of neo-liberal free trade has been a siphoning off of the benefits by corporations and the rich, leaving many in the developed world worse off. In that kind of environment, we can understand voting against trade and globalization.
Globalization has been a huge success in some places (Japan, Korea, China, Panama, India, Brazil) in the developed world. Global living standards how never been higher and the number of people in poverty, lower. A remarkable 1.5 billion people have transitioned from poverty to lower middle class in a generation.
Branko Milanovic has done some great work documenting the winners and losers over the past 20 years. Here is a link to an article from the world bank about his work.
But that transfer of wealth did not come for free. There was no magical growth pill or free lunch. It came at the crushing expense of the poor and middle class in developed countries. Through the process of immigration to developed countries, offshore manufacturing and outsourcing services to low-wage countries; large chunks of the economy were dismantled.
The chart below shows the global winners and losers for the past 20 years. (Source: Branko Milanovic)
The good news is that UK referendum on leaving the European Union opens a huge space to discuss economic inequality in the US and developed countries. This country seems ready to discuss class differences without the smokescreen of immigration and white male privilege. We are open to having a discussion (negotiation) on how to fairly allocate the bounty of our country.
We don’t have to tell you that Black, Latino/Hispanic and poor people have also suffered tremendously under increased immigration, outsourcing and poor job prospects. Rich whites and elites were unconcerned to the plight of Blacks because it did not affect them. Now that the White middle class is starting to feel the pain of zero wage growth and poor job prospects, we may see progress on changing the economic and political system to benefit more Americans.
The future may look like Japan
One developed country with few trade problems is Japan. Japan is highly nationalistic. They don’t buy foreign goods. They are intensely focused on exports. They have consistently run a trade surplus for years. Japan is also completely closed to immigration. There are limited work visas. Corporations must instead re- train workers for new positions. Japan also promotes job security as national priority. Corporations are not overly concerned with profits or shareholder returns. A complex web of corporate holdings limits the power of shareholders.
Japan also has zero population growth. Japan spends very little on national defense. Interestingly, Japan is also racist and xenophobic by our standards. But Japan policies work. They have the lowest level of inequality of all G20 nations.
Summary
Politicians and decision makers can no longer ignore the victims of globalization. The are angry and they vote.
Of related news, the UK Mirror says that 67% of UK Asian voters and 73% of Black voters chose “Remain”.
Saturday, June 11, 2016
The effect of Incarceration on unemployment, related articles and data
The Washington Post has a story: "America has locked up so many black people it has warped our sense of reality". We want to check some of WP 's facts and conclusions. We also want to extend our analysis of the real Black unemployment rate to include incarceration statistics.
The two most important publications in corrections statistics are the following reports published by the Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics.
Correctional population in the US, 2014
Prisoners in 2014
Probation and Parolee in the US, 2014
Here is a summary of the important statistical facts in each publication.
Important Facts(2014)
6,851,000 under the supervision of adult corrections system
4,708,100 Community supervision
3,864,100 Probation
856,900 Parole
2,224,400 Incarcerated
1,561,500 Federal and State
1,350,958 State
210,567 Federal
744,600 Local
1,448,564 Male
112,961 Female
1,402,404 - Male Prisoners sentenced more than a year (may not match total by definition)
453,500 White Male
516,900 Black Male
308,700 Hispanic Male
123,300 Other Male
106,232 All Female prisoners sentenced more than a year (may not match total by definition)
53,100 White female
22,600 Black female
17,800 Hispanic female
12,800 Other female
Definitions:
The correctional population is the total of all people under the supervision of the corrections systm which include probation, parole and incarceration.
Prison - Sentenced offenders serving more than a year. State and Federal.
Jail - Local incarceration for pre-trial and post-trail sentences of one year or less.
Private Prisons -
Prisoners - Incarcerated people at the state and federal level.
Per 100,000 - is the bench mark for comparing the incarceration rate across different countries.
Unemployment rate for Parolees and Probation is 40 to 60%.
More facts:
National Employment Law Project estimates 65 million people have a criminal record or 28% of the adult population has a criminal record. Nation: "Boxed In: How a criminal record keeps you unemployed for life"
Center for Economic Policy and Research estimated that bias against workers with a criminal record reduced the US GDP by $57 to 64 billion in 2008.
A 2010 Pew Charitable Trust study found that incarceration reduces houry wages by 11 percent and annual wages by 40 percent.
Center on Budget and Policy Priorities in 2015 stated that 70 million people have a criminal record. In "Strategies for Full Employment through reform of the criminal Justice System"
82 billion was spent on jails and prison
$250 billion on courts and policing
Kaiser Family Foundation/New York Times/CBS news poll of prime working age men 25-54 who were unemployed found that 34 percent had a criminal conviction. 64% wanted to work and 45% had looked for a job.
Sunday, June 5, 2016
Low wage jobs vs. high wage jobs.
Separate data from the National Employment Law Project show low-wage job gains outpacing higher-wage jobs growth. There are now 1.2 million fewer jobs in mid- and higher-wage industries than there were prior to the Great Recession, according to the data. In contrast, there are 2.3 million more jobs in lower-wage sectors than before the recession.
Universal Basic Income Articles and Discussion. Swiss voters reject basic income 77% to 23%
Today, June 5th, 2016, Swiss voters reject a proposal to give each citizen 2500 Euro per month. Voters indicated it would devalue work and encourage immigration.
Universal Basic Income or Basic Income
The idea of Universal Basic Income has been around for a
while. The idea is that the government would give a basic level of income each year
to every citizen to reduce poverty and promote human development. The benefit could vary by amount and need but everyone would receive some benefit. The benefit could be large enough to lift them out of poverty
or a supplement to existing programs like food stamps, TANF, SSI, health care or
housing support. However, it would be universal like social security to build broad public support.
In the United States, the general public is starting to recognize basic income can help
eliminate poverty and economic insecurity.
As of 2014 census, 14.8% of the US population lives below the poverty
line. There were 46.7 million people in poverty.
The official poverty rate is here: “Income and Poverty in the United States: 2014.
The topic resurfaced to a broader public when Farhad Manjoo
reported on “silicon valley proposals to
give everyone an income so people will not fight job-killing
technologies.
Manjoo was discussing the ideas of Scott Santens in his NYT
piece. Mr. Santens is profiled here in
the Atlantic. “What if everybody didn’t have to work to get paid." . Mr. Santens also moderates
the reddit discussion of Basic Income.
UBI is being widely discussed as the economic climate
worsens and insecurity grows for many people.
The pro-UBI side argues,
1)
UBI lets people attain their full potential. “What
would you do if all your basic needs were taken care of ?”
2)
Helps people find the right job
3)
UBI Is efficient to administer.
The anti-UBI side argues,
1 1)
It destroys the work ethic
2 2)
BI is too expensive to afford
3 3)
Would encourage immigration
4 4)
Does not factor in geographic cost differences
such as housing costs.
In the United States, giving 300 million people $10,000 a
year would cost $3 trillion dollars. Currently, military spending is the
largest discretionary budget item at $598 billion out of a total discretionary
spend of $1.11 trillion dollars
Basic Income Discussion
About a year ago some silicon valley folks wrote about UBI because
they were afraid people would oppose job killing robots. The widely read piece rekindled the
discussion of UBI.
Eduardo Porter from New York Times has written on UBI here: “Universal Basic Income is a poor tool to fight poverty”. He calls the plans too expensive
and “Poorly thought out”
We highly recommend this great overview of Basic Income from 538. The story by Andrews Flowers is well researched and has lots of links. “What would happen if we just gave people money”
Economist says it too expensive here. “Basically Unaffordable”
Tony Atkinson advocates for a participation credit. You must contribute to society in some way either by working, looking for work or volunteering.
Roosevelt Institute has an article by Mike Konczal against
UBI “Guest post: Max Sawicky on the liberal case against Universal Basic Income”
Mr. Sawicky, argues that the cost is too expensive and there
are other ways to achieve the same objective. These include full employment, a higher
minimum wage, support for unions, federalizing temporary assistance for needy
families (TANF) and making the government the employer of last resort. These measures are “more in keeping with our
current system and political culture.” He says UBI is a pipe dream and we are
better off increasing TANF, if we really want to reduce poverty.
UBI in real life
Besides the Swiss, a number of cities and countrie are conducting experiments on basic income.
Silicon Valley Incubator Y Combinator is funding a research project
on basic income in Oakland. The
application is here.
The Dutch city of Utrecht is paying people whether they work
or not. They are experimenting with paying clients about 1000 euros each month without
any means test. Here.
Finland is also looking at a UBI experiment. They would give each citizen 800 euro a
month.
Finally, one of the longest running
website on Basic Income is basicincome.org/
which is run by the Basic Income Earth Network(BIEN) which has the most update to
date news on basic income issues in the world.
Sunday, May 29, 2016
Contingtent Workers, Contingent Worker Survey: Update and Resource Links
Contingent Workers in the US Economy
What do the rise in voter anger, flat wage growth, low inflation and high corporate profits all have in common. They may be caused by the the rapid increase in contingent workers over the past decade.
A recent article in the New York Times on contingent workers carried the shocking headline: "all job created since 2005 were filled by contingent workers." The source was a new paper by Lawrence Katz and Alan Kruger; two very respected economists. The paper also reports that the number of contingent workers in the economy has gone from 5% to 15% percent of the economy in 10 years.
The census bureau and the bureau of labor statistics have been effective blocked from conducting a survey on Contingent Workers because of funding issues. . The government has not done a survey since 2005.
NY Times -- Upshot:Contractors and Temps behind last 10 years of job growth
Thomas Perez, the current secretary of Labor recently announced that a new CWS would be taken in 2016. Expect the results in 2017.
In the mean time several others have stepped in to fill the gap.
Lawrence Katz and Alan Kruger employed the Rand Corporation to conducted a contingent workers survey on as part of American Life Panel Data survey. The results formed the basis of their paper.
The survey was conducted in October/November of 2015. Rand APL CWS survey link.
The "Contingent Worker" economy is also known as the Freelance, 1099, Gig, Uber or Employees without Benefits Economy. The "Sharing" economy was quickly dropped since the workers are forced to shared their pay checks with management.
A couple of background articles on the "Employees without Benefits" economy.
New Republic -- Voters are Angry at 1099 Economy
The rise and nature of alternative work arrangements in the US, 1995-2015
v2
What do the rise in voter anger, flat wage growth, low inflation and high corporate profits all have in common. They may be caused by the the rapid increase in contingent workers over the past decade.
A recent article in the New York Times on contingent workers carried the shocking headline: "all job created since 2005 were filled by contingent workers." The source was a new paper by Lawrence Katz and Alan Kruger; two very respected economists. The paper also reports that the number of contingent workers in the economy has gone from 5% to 15% percent of the economy in 10 years.
The census bureau and the bureau of labor statistics have been effective blocked from conducting a survey on Contingent Workers because of funding issues. . The government has not done a survey since 2005.
NY Times -- Upshot:Contractors and Temps behind last 10 years of job growth
Thomas Perez, the current secretary of Labor recently announced that a new CWS would be taken in 2016. Expect the results in 2017.
In the mean time several others have stepped in to fill the gap.
Lawrence Katz and Alan Kruger employed the Rand Corporation to conducted a contingent workers survey on as part of American Life Panel Data survey. The results formed the basis of their paper.
The survey was conducted in October/November of 2015. Rand APL CWS survey link.
The "Contingent Worker" economy is also known as the Freelance, 1099, Gig, Uber or Employees without Benefits Economy. The "Sharing" economy was quickly dropped since the workers are forced to shared their pay checks with management.
A couple of background articles on the "Employees without Benefits" economy.
New Republic -- Voters are Angry at 1099 Economy
The rise and nature of alternative work arrangements in the US, 1995-2015
v2
Sunday, May 1, 2016
The "Real" Adam Smith TV Show
Public Broadcasting Service is showing an excellent documentary on Adam Smith who first recognized and defined the market economy that we call "Capitalism."
The documentary is called: "The Real Adam Smith"
Warning: The documentary was developed by "Free to Choose Media", a conservative media outlet. The story and host ave a classical liberal bias toward free markets and limited government.
v2
Practice what you Preach: New York Times sued for Age, Race and Gender Discrimination
Opinion - Practice what you Preach
As long time New York Times readers, we are profoundly disappointed by the allegations against the New York Times. The times is owed a fair treatment by the legal system. We will follow the case closely. We found the Times fact based point of view unique in our entertainment driven world.
.
.
However, We feel like we have been stabbed in the back by an old friend. We cannot read another story about immigration, the brutal Amazon workplace or the decline of government jobs for the Black middle class, without seeing the organization as a bunch of hypocrites. We cannot take seriously any editorial on any progressive issue related to race, sex or age without thinking it was completely insincere and written to pander to their desired demographic.
The Times has lost a large amount of moral authority on issues of age, race and gender by allowing this blatant discrimination to occur in the workplace. A newspaper is q unique place where public morality must correspond to private activities. There is no dividing line between editorial opinion and operational practice. Media outlets must "Practice what they Preach"
Growing up we were all taught: "Never to anything stupid enough to end up on the front page of the New York Times!" I guess that means the UK Guardian now.
v2
v2
New York Times Sued for Age, Race and Gender discrimination
In a court filling, Ernestine Grant and Marjorie Walker, two Black, female employees in their 60 who worked in the advertising department, change the New York Times with age, race and gender discrimination.
In the complaint, the women state their supervisor express a clear preference for young, white men. They were assigned less lucrative accounts that young, white, men with less experience. They were also denied "perks" given to other employees.
The complaint is on the Wigdor Law LLP website.
You must also ask how diverse the law firm that is representing the women.
Wigdor Law LLP
http://www.wigdorlaw.com/
Sunday, April 24, 2016
All net new jobs created since 2005 were contractor or temp help jobs.
We are in the Freelance or 1099 or Gig or Uber or "Employees without Benefits" Economy. We are still looking for the phase to describe this new and dreadful economy.
A couple of background articles on the "Employees without Benefits" economy.
New Republic -- Voters are Angry at 1099 Economy
NY Times -- Upshot:Contractors and Temps behind last 10 years of job growth
The rise and nature of alternative work arrangements in the US, 1995-2015
The paper states that all net new jobs created between 2005 and 2015 were independent contractor or temporary help jobs.
A couple of background articles on the "Employees without Benefits" economy.
New Republic -- Voters are Angry at 1099 Economy
NY Times -- Upshot:Contractors and Temps behind last 10 years of job growth
The rise and nature of alternative work arrangements in the US, 1995-2015
The paper states that all net new jobs created between 2005 and 2015 were independent contractor or temporary help jobs.
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