Sunday, August 28, 2011

Before the Evil Black Economist the blog name was...

I was looking for a spreadsheet and found these old list of possible Blog names. They are kind of interesting.

Possible Blog Names

Black Econ
Black Economics
Black Economics 101
Introduction to Black Economics
The evil black economist
Economics for Black People
Black Money
Dollar Bill Y’All
All about the Paper
The root of all evil
Money, Money, Money
Black Crunch bar
Economically Challenged
Black Millionaires
Black Manna

Friday, August 19, 2011

Bad jobs report in July is good news

July Bureau of Labor Statistics unemployment data reported that 117,000 non farm payroll jobs were added to the economy. Black unemployment is 15.9%; National rate 9.1%

The July unemployment report was some good news when everyone was expecting bad news. You can hear the Whitehouse going "Whew!" Total private employment increased by 154,000 jobs but the number was offset by -37,000 drop in government employment. The other big story was the continuing fall in employment population ratio (58.1%) and the labor force participation rate (63.9%). Both are at record lows. People are leaving the labor market in huge numbers.

The national unemployment rate slid down to 9.1% and the Black unemployment rate dropped to 15.9%. Economists had predicted 100,000 new jobs and the actual number was higher. However, it is below the rate of population growth.

Private non farm payroll increased +154,000. Employment increased in business services by +34,000 while healthcare went up by +37,000. Manufacturing added 24,000(durable +23K, non durable 1K). Construction gained 8K. The biggest drop was in local government jobs which fell by -37,000 primarily due to the public workers strike in Wisconsin.

Black unemployment down slightly

Black unemployment was reported at 15.9%, roughly twice the rate for Whites and 50% more than Hispanics. It was 15.3% in Feb. 2011. About 2.80 million Black people remained unemployed in July, 2011 about the same number as June. The Black labor force participation rate tumbled again to 60.4%. In February 2010, it was 62.7. The number of Blacks holding jobs shrank by -69,000. An additional -151,000 Blacks dropped out of the labor force in June. And finally, the employment / population ratio for Blacks shrank to 50.8%. It would be astounding if less that half of the Black people in the US were employed.

Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Employment to Population Ratio: People are dropping out of the labor force




The July unemployment report was no news. Which is good news because a bad report would have really hit the market and the Obama administration really hard. I have to believe the president get some sort of briefing before the numbers are released.

However, there is one interesting story: the big drop in the number of people in the labor force and employed since the recession began. Both measures have be hit hard.

The drop in the employment to total poluation ratio and the labor force to population ratio has been dramatic. People are dropping out of the labor force left and right.



You can see the employment ratio is four percentage points lower since the recession started. And the civilian labor force has drop by 2%.

I have not been on vacation, I been working overtime.

Sorry, I have not posting in a while. I have started a new job and I am lowest person in the pecking order. So, while I have not been on vacation, other people have, and I have to cover for them. Two have returned, so I am free to write again.

Thanks

Chris

Saturday, August 6, 2011

Breaking news: S&P lowers credit rating !!! Yawn.

Yawn. Zzzzzz. Such none news just confuses people. Does anyone really see the US not paying their debts. Institutions, people(rich people with lots of cash), and other governments are begging for US debt. The real story is the market rate on 30 year T-Bill currently 3.82%. The figure is low by historic standards and falling. Like I said yawn.

Editors Note: In a further blow to it's credibility, S&P has admitted a calculation error in the downgrade. First, the mortgage and banking crisis and now this. Clearly another case where the private sector cannot regulate itself.

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Black/Hispanic vs. Wealth Gap Takes Huge Jump - 300%

The Pew Research Center has publish a report that show the asset ratio between Whites as compared to Blacks and Hispanics has has jumped from 7:1 in 1995 to 20:1 in 2010. An increase of nearly 300%. The primary reason is the increase in Black unemployment and the number of sub-prime foreclosures.

The summary is here and the full study is here.

Unfortunately, the heart of the problem is that the assets were reported at paper value not a the risk adjusted price. So Black and Hispanic asset values (houses) were overstated. We the housing bubble popped you got a more realistic view which coupled with the recession explains the wide gap. Things have not really changed.

Everyone should be unemployed for a short-time

Certain things you cannot fully understand until you experience them. Love, raising kids, racism & sexism, travel, prison, and sex. Another experience I wish more people shred is nemployment. Until you have experienced the frustration and idleness; you cannot fully understand.

So, here is wishing you a little bit of unemployment.

Discrimination against the long term unemployed

The New York Times had a story about discrimination in web job postings. The ads were asking for applicants that were currently working or had been recently laid off. They admitted that did not want the long-term unemployed to apply.

The story is here in the New York Times, July 26th, 2011 edition.

There are three things going on here:

Discrimination is here and real and wrong. Here is a clear, documented example of discrimination.

This discrimination shows some one of the effects of long-term unemployment. The unemployed may have their skills degrade. Employers and the public believe the long term unemployed are less qualified or may not want to work. And for the long-term unemployed there is a stigma is attached to being unemployed.

Finally, it is so rare to get a news story covering discrimination and unemployment, in the same story. I am glad some has the interest and guts to cover this story.

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

"The White Man's Ice is Cooler ?"

When I first heeard that quote, "The white man ice is cooler ?," I bursted out laughing. That's some funny stuff.

I think I was a high school kid and my dad was talking about where people bought their cars. Then I stopped laughing. I thought about it and said, "Hey wait a minute. Ice is Ice."

Everyday, black consumers spend over 2 billion dollars. We are some of the world's best consumers. We are gifted with incredible wealth. And with that wealth comes power. Our weakness is our aspirational spending on material goods.

We spend like we have a inferiority complex. We spend like we are trying to prove our worth and our value. We spend because we want the respect of the larger society that has denigrated us. "See, look, we are equal because I can buy whatever you buy." We spend rich; we spend white.

Unfortunately for black people, all major consumer companies are only to happy to oblige. They are willing to sell us something that will cure our inferiority complex, for a price.

A great example is the slimy salesmen our lack of self-esteem against us with the classic BS comment: "You can't afford it."

Sadly, this fundamental flaw in our character causes a lot of Black unemployment. Why do we lag in jobs, assets, entrepreneurship. Because we are short sighted about long term happiness. We are short-sighted about were we spend our money.

We spend too much on fleeting short term happiness from products and under invest in long term happiness from friends, family, schools and stable neighborhoods. "I going to get mine" is a familiar saying. So you got it, what then ? Many of us "got ours," what do we do next ? Well we spend some more. We don't know how rich we really are. We even gave our retirement money to the bankers who ruined the economy.

So, ask you self this this question when you shop.  "Do the people who own the shop look like me ?", "Could me or my kid work there, if I needed a job ?" Carefully, look at the place where you spend your money ? Could your kid work there if he needed a job ? Do you see anyone who looks like you? Did their advertisements include people like you ?

As well all know, it is easy to find fault, but proposing some real solutions is difficult.   Here are some suggestions:

1) Spend your money wisely. Use the rule of thumb: Am I spending money at a place that would hire me or my kids ? It is as simple as that.

2) Spend money at places that employ Black people. So that is Walmart, CVS, safeway, Ford and Chrysler, McDonald's, American Airlines. Not subway, abercrombe and fitch, coach or american apparel.

3) Buy your car or house from a Black salesperson. Or best yet a Black car dealer. I know sales people are nice, but nice doesn't cut it. They work on commission. And the level of service is the same. All the sales reps have access to multiple listing service, ebay, yahoo or carfax.

4) Eat out at places that employ Black people. There is nothing wrong with TGIF Fridays, Burger King or White Castle. Think twice about McDonalds or 7-11 when no one looks like you. I am not saying don't go, just look for an alternative. Or eat healthy at home.

5) Get competitive bids: For every major purchase greater than $1000 consider getting three bids including a Black business or business person. It takes work but you can go to sleep knowing you tried.

6) Look for Black sales people and managers when you shop. Business that pay sales people commission are commodities (houses, cars, appliances) and count on sales people to make a difference. You will probably never see a them again, so make you purchase count.

7)Complain. Let Black business know when something is wrong, but then go back and make sure it is corrected. We will give the benefit of the doubt to everyone but our own people.

8) Hustle. Start a business yourself. A business is an education for free. Business truly understands their consumers. The off the books economy pays for itself.

Summary: Until Black people consider how every purchase help you community, our community will suffer. Always ask yourself this question, "Could my kid work here if he needs a job ?"

v5

Monday, July 25, 2011

Our Black Year: One couple buys only from Black Businesses for a Year

One couple has decided to buy from only Black Owned business for a whole year. There website is here.

Blog Archive